Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025October07)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,925.00

Long positions above 3925.00 with targets at 4000.00 & 4020.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 3925.00 look for further downside with 3895.00 & 3865.00 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.

【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: intraday support around 61.10.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 61.10

Long positions above 61.10 with targets at 62.20 & 62.80 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 61.10 look for further downside with 60.65 & 60.40 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is around its neutrality area at 50%

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1680

Long positions above 1.1680 with targets at 1.1730 & 1.1750 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.1680 look for further downside with 1.1660 & 1.1640 as targets.

Comment

Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 1.3445.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3445

Long positions above 1.3445 with targets at 1.3505 & 1.3525 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.3445 look for further downside with 1.3420 & 1.3400 as targets.

Comment

Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: target 122280

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 125,790

Target 122280.

Alternative scenario

Above 125790, look for 127110 and 127900.

Comment

The RSI is below 50. The MACD is positive and below its signal line. The MACD must penetrate its zero line to expect further downside. Moreover, the price is below its 20 period moving average (125157) but above its 50 period moving average (124582).

spot_imgspot_img

Discover more from Ark-X

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading