Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025October08)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: further advance.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,960.00

Long positions above 3960.00 with targets at 4000.00 & 4030.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 3960.00 look for further downside with 3940.00 & 3920.00 as targets.

Comment

The RSI advocates for further upside.

【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: aim @ 62.80.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 61.60

Long positions above 61.60 with targets at 62.40 & 62.80 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 61.60 look for further downside with 61.20 & 60.70 as targets.

Comment

The RSI advocates for further advance.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1670

Short positions below 1.1670 with targets at 1.1605 & 1.1575 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.1670 look for further upside with 1.1695 & 1.1720 as targets.

Comment

The RSI has broken down its 30 level.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3440

Short positions below 1.3440 with targets at 1.3370 & 1.3340 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.3440 look for further upside with 1.3465 & 1.3490 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: rebound towards 124410

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 120,940

Rebound towards 124410.

Alternative scenario

The downside breakout of 120940 would call for 119600 and 118800.

Comment

The RSI is below 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands above its 20 period moving average (121722) but below its 50 period moving average (123079).

spot_imgspot_img

Discover more from Ark-X

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading