Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025October06)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: expect 3930.00.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,876.00

Long positions above 3876.00 with targets at 3919.00 & 3930.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 3876.00 look for further downside with 3862.00 & 3840.00 as targets.

Comment

The next resistances are at 3919.00 and then at 3930.00.

【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: expect 62.50.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 61.10

Long positions above 61.10 with targets at 62.20 & 62.50 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 61.10 look for further downside with 60.40 & 60.00 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.1740.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1740

Short positions below 1.1740 with targets at 1.1700 & 1.1685 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.1740 look for further upside with 1.1760 & 1.1775 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: watch 1.3400.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3475

Short positions below 1.3475 with targets at 1.3420 & 1.3400 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.3475 look for further upside with 1.3505 & 1.3525 as targets.

Comment

As long as the resistance at 1.3475 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.3420 remains high.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: the upside prevails as long as 123030 is support

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 123,030

The upside prevails as long as 123030 is support.

Alternative scenario

Below 123030, expect 121720 and 120930.

Comment

The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 123234 and 123565).

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