Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025September29)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: bullish bias above 3756.00.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,756.00

Long positions above 3756.00 with targets at 3795.00 & 3815.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 3756.00 look for further downside with 3740.00 & 3722.00 as targets.

Comment

Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

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【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: aim @ 64.10.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 65.85

Short positions below 65.85 with targets at 64.65 & 64.10 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 65.85 look for further upside with 66.40 & 66.80 as targets.

Comment

The RSI advocates for further downside.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: further advance.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1685

Long positions above 1.1685 with targets at 1.1750 & 1.1770 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.1685 look for further downside with 1.1670 & 1.1645 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: further advance.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3385

Long positions above 1.3385 with targets at 1.3435 & 1.3465 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.3385 look for further downside with 1.3350 & 1.3320 as targets.

Comment

The RSI advocates for further upside.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: the upside prevails as long as 110980 is support

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 110,980

The upside prevails as long as 110980 is support.

Alternative scenario

The downside breakout of 110980 would call for 109860 and 109190.

Comment

The RSI is trading above 70. This could mean that either the price is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and that therefore a correction could shape (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is positive and above its signal line. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 111151 and 110180).

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