Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025September18)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: under pressure.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,675.00

Short positions below 3675.00 with targets at 3645.00 & 3630.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 3675.00 look for further upside with 3688.00 & 3703.00 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%

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【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: key resistance at 64.10.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 64.10

Short positions below 64.10 with targets at 63.35 & 63.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 64.10 look for further upside with 64.35 & 64.70 as targets.

Comment

The RSI has just struck against its neutrality area at 50% and is reversing down.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: watch 1.1800.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1860

Short positions below 1.1860 with targets at 1.1800 & 1.1765 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.1860 look for further upside with 1.1890 & 1.1920 as targets.

Comment

A break below 1.1800 would trigger a drop towards 1.1765.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3670

Short positions below 1.3670 with targets at 1.3570 & 1.3545 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.3670 look for further upside with 1.3700 & 1.3725 as targets.

Comment

The RSI calls for a new downleg.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: the upside prevails as long as 115410 is support

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 115,410

The upside prevails as long as 115410 is support.

Alternative scenario

The downside breakout of 115410 would call for 114250 and 113570.

Comment

The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 115982 and 116332).

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