Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025September17)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: intraday support around 3675.00.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,675.00

Long positions above 3675.00 with targets at 3703.00 & 3715.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 3675.00 look for further downside with 3667.00 & 3655.00 as targets.

Comment

The next resistances are at 3703.00 and then at 3715.00.

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【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: the upside prevails.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 63.65

Long positions above 63.65 with targets at 64.70 & 65.10 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 63.65 look for further downside with 63.20 & 62.70 as targets.

Comment

The break above 63.65 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 64.70.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1820

Long positions above 1.1820 with targets at 1.1900 & 1.1930 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.1820 look for further downside with 1.1790 & 1.1760 as targets.

Comment

The break above 1.1820 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.1900.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3615

Long positions above 1.3615 with targets at 1.3670 & 1.3700 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.3615 look for further downside with 1.3595 & 1.3575 as targets.

Comment

The next resistances are at 1.3670 and then at 1.3700.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: as long as 115790 is support look for 118780

Pivot level found at 115,790

Our preference 

As long as 115790 is support look for 118780.

Alternative scenario

Below 115790, expect 114630 and 113940.

Comment

The RSI is above 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is trading above both its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 116686 and 115961).

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