Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025September16)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: bullish bias above 3666.00.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,666.00

Long positions above 3666.00 with targets at 3694.00 & 3703.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 3666.00 look for further downside with 3655.00 & 3646.00 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.

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【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: intraday support around 62.50.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 62.50

Long positions above 62.50 with targets at 63.65 & 64.05 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 62.50 look for further downside with 62.20 & 61.70 as targets.

Comment

The RSI lacks downward momentum.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1740

Long positions above 1.1740 with targets at 1.1800 & 1.1820 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.1740 look for further downside with 1.1720 & 1.1700 as targets.

Comment

The RSI calls for a new upleg.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: further upside.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3575

Long positions above 1.3575 with targets at 1.3640 & 1.3660 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.3575 look for further downside with 1.3550 & 1.3530 as targets.

Comment

The RSI advocates for further upside.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: the upside prevails as long as 114490 is support

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 114,490

The upside prevails as long as 114490 is support.

Alternative scenario

Below 114490, expect 113340 and 112650.

Comment

The RSI is above 50. The MACD is positive and above its signal line. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is trading above both its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 115284 and 115275).

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