Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025September19)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: key resistance at 3659.00.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,659.00

Short positions below 3659.00 with targets at 3628.00 & 3615.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 3659.00 look for further upside with 3672.00 & 3688.00 as targets.

Comment

The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 3659.00.

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【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: under pressure.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 63.55

Short positions below 63.55 with targets at 63.00 & 62.65 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 63.55 look for further upside with 63.80 & 64.10 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is mixed with a bearish bias.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1825

Short positions below 1.1825 with targets at 1.1750 & 1.1720 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.1825 look for further upside with 1.1850 & 1.1880 as targets.

Comment

The RSI lacks upward momentum.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3590

Short positions below 1.3590 with targets at 1.3500 & 1.3475 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.3590 look for further upside with 1.3620 & 1.3650 as targets.

Comment

The break below 1.3590 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 1.3500.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: the downside prevails as long as 118200 is resistance

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 118,200

The downside prevails as long as 118200 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

The upside breakout of 118200, would call for 119370 and 120060.

Comment

The RSI is below 50. The MACD is negative and below its signal line. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 117439 and 117357).

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