Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025September25)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: key resistance at 3760.00.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,760.00

Short positions below 3760.00 with targets at 3733.00 & 3717.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 3760.00 look for further upside with 3777.00 & 3790.00 as targets.

Comment

The RSI has just struck against its neutrality area at 50%.

.

【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 64.10

Long positions above 64.10 with targets at 65.25 & 65.80 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 64.10 look for further downside with 63.80 & 63.25 as targets.

Comment

The RSI shows upside momentum.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.1770.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1770

Short positions below 1.1770 with targets at 1.1725 & 1.1700 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.1770 look for further upside with 1.1795 & 1.1820 as targets.

Comment

As long as the resistance at 1.1770 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.1725 remains high.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.3480.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3480

Short positions below 1.3480 with targets at 1.3425 & 1.3400 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Above 1.3480 look for further upside with 1.3505 & 1.3530 as targets.

Comment

Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: the downside prevails as long as 113680 is resistance

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 113,680

The downside prevails as long as 113680 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

The upside breakout of 113680, would call for 114820 and 115490.

Comment

The RSI is below 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price is trading under both its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 113415 and 113006).

spot_imgspot_img

Discover more from Ark-X

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading