Finhalo: Daily technical analysis of Bitcoin, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil (2025September23)

A global oil shock doesn’t just affect energy markets—it reshapes how the world eats, travels, and lives.
The U.S. dollar is no longer just a currency—it’s a strategic weapon shaping global conflicts, financial systems, and the future of economic power.
War now drives volatility, not trends, as oil and gold react violently to geopolitical uncertainty.
AI tokens are emerging as the currency of computation—revealing who truly controls AI power, from chips to cloud, and shaping the future of the global economy.
The escalating Iran–Israel conflict is rapidly becoming a major driver of global markets. As oil supply risks around the Strait of Hormuz increase, investors are positioning around what traders call the “Iran War Trade.” From energy prices and safe-haven assets to global trade and inflation expectations, the geopolitical shock is reshaping the financial landscape.
The global AI chip shortage is driving up costs, straining supply chains, and creating financial market volatility. From GPUs and high-bandwidth memory to data center operations and tech stocks, investors must understand the emerging AI computing crisis to navigate risks and opportunities in the AI era.

AI 算力危機

【Gold】Gold Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 3,725.00

Long positions above 3725.00 with targets at 3760.00 & 3785.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 3725.00 look for further downside with 3712.00 & 3700.00 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.

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【WTI】Crude Oil (WTI) (X5) Intraday: intraday support around 62.05.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 62.05

Long positions above 62.05 with targets at 62.65 & 63.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 62.05 look for further downside with 61.70 & 61.20 as targets.

Comment

The next resistances are at 62.65 and then at 63.00.

EURUSD】EUR/USD Intraday: further advance.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.1770

Long positions above 1.1770 with targets at 1.1820 & 1.1845 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.1770 look for further downside with 1.1745 & 1.1725 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.

GBPUSDGBP/USD Intraday: further upside.

Our preference

Pivot level found at 1.3480

Long positions above 1.3480 with targets at 1.3535 & 1.3560 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 1.3480 look for further downside with 1.3450 & 1.3420 as targets.

Comment

The RSI advocates for further advance.

【BTCUSD】Bitcoin / USD intraday: the downside prevails as long as 113210 is resistance

Our preference 

Pivot level found at 113,210

The downside prevails as long as 113210 is resistance.

Alternative scenario

Above 113210, look for 114320 and 114990.

Comment

The RSI is below 50. The MACD is negative and below its signal line. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 112609 and 113034).

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